Bongs and the exit poll
Three bells, a riser, then the exit poll and what the Lib Dems would be worth.
RESULTS NIGHT v1.7.1 · POLLING DAY THU 14 JAN 2027, OR PICK MAY / OCTOBER 2027
Burnham's January election, seat by seat
Just a name. “Burnham’s January election” is what this project is called, not a prediction. 14 January 2027 is the default polling day of a conditional scenario (you can pick May or October 2027 instead), and every seat count here, Labour 351 included, is a scenario output, not a forecast.
Watch the next general election declare on a 650-seat hex map: the 10pm exit poll, every result, the moments the arithmetic turns, and the morning's front page when the last seat falls. Pick a scenario, change the assumptions, and run the night again.
Default night · Poll referenceBurnham governs alone
Labour 351Con 136Lib Dem 70Reform 24Others 69
326 majority320 working line336 stability buffer
The scenarios
Each preset on the map, as Results Night v1.7.1 computes it. Eleven named scenarios and four C9 scenario profiles (C9-A to C9-D); nine vote on 14 January, one waits until July, and five keep their own dates. Since v1.7 the map counts one cost-of-living source at a time and measures changes from the poll fieldwork date. The GB Budget and the England-only household payment add separately, and voters' remembered judgement of the government's response forms after fieldwork. Several rows moved as a result. C9-D is a chosen stress scenario, not a forecast or a minimum.
| Scenario | Polling day | Lab | Con | Reform | LD | Front page |
|---|
The night
Everything happens when the numbers say so: each moment fires the instant its arithmetic becomes true.
650 seats declare
Every constituency lights up on the hex map in its real declaration order, from Sunderland to the islands.
The arithmetic turns
Labour majority, the 336 buffer, Lib Dems pivotal, hung parliament, the rage of the electorate.
Change the assumptions
Load a C9 profile (A to D) or move Brent crude, the squeeze, the Budget, memory, polls and timing yourself. Apply them and replay the night.
Show or study
Broadcast for the drama; Analyst for the numbers, with no flashes and sound off.
The C9 Courier
When the last seat falls, the morning's front page names the outcome. Close it and Westminster reacts: five cartoon leaders, fictional lines.
About C9
C9 Hollow Majority is a scenario simulator for the next UK general election. It shows what the Commons could look like under stated assumptions, and when each turning point would arrive on results night.
It is not a forecast. National totals are scenario outputs; seat-by-seat maps are illustrative. Northern Ireland seats and the Speaker keep their current holders.
★ Fun fact: This was built for no particular reason. Do not inquire.
- Map
- Results Night v1.7.1
- Engine
- Hollow Majority v1.56
- Visual system
- C9 Design v1.3
- Polling day
- Thursday 14 January 2027 by default; Thursday 6 May or 14 October 2027 (potential) on the map
- Default
- Poll reference: GB 10-day pollster average, fieldwork to 26 Oct 2026; Brent $109
- Status
- Internally tested; not independently validated